Lower Birthrate Means Fewer Latinos In The Future

By Nadine Arroyo Rodriguez
September 01, 2011

Photo Courtesy Arizona State University.
Carlos Vélez-Ibáñez, Director of Arizona State University's School of Transborder Studies.

PHOENIX -- A study released in Arizona shows its Latino population is not growing as fast as researchers first believed.

The study is based on information from the U.S. Census Bureau. It shows that in the future, there will be fewer Latinos living in Arizona, much less than originally projected. Researchers said it’s because Latinas younger than 20-years-old are having fewer children and waiting longer to have them.

Carlos Vélez-Ibáñez is the director of Arizona State University’s School of Transborder Studies. He said there is more to the population decline.

Vélez-Ibáñez said the different views of a younger generation, inter-racial marriages and even divorce rates are issues that impact the Latino population shift.

“You also have vertical mobility in the population itself and increasing education over time,” Vélez-Ibáñez said. “And when you put all that stuff together, you can then recognize that in fact it’s not just in Arizona but also in California and New Mexico...all over the place. It’s any place Hispanos live.”

The census data also shows the national birthrate for Hispanic women was lower than Arizona's rate for the last 10 years. The study shows that births among non-Hispanic women under the age of 20 also declined.