A poll from OH Predictive Insights asked likely Republican voters who they plan to vote for in the August primaries to replace Gov. Doug Ducey. 

Though Kari Lake is leading at 23%, Karrin Taylor Robson is only 2 percentage points behind her, making it a toss-up. 

Matt Salmon is trailing behind at 14%. 

However, nearly 40% of Republicans are still unsure who they will vote for in the primary, leading to more uncertainty as to who is likely to win

The poll was conducted in the second week of May, and sampled Republican voters who were likely to cast a ballot instead of all those registered to vote in the party. 

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